Galway 6:45

The model makes Jagged Edge its standout in this 21-runner Galway contest, rating it 28.6% to place and 13.1% to win. But it's a competitive heat: only 2.3000000000000007 points cover the front two, and the model's shortlist to place is tight — Jagged Edge (28.6%), Lir Speciale (26.3%), Ribee (25.9%). There's value at the head of the market too: at this morning's 10.5 the price implies only 9.5%, so the model sees 3.5 points of edge on the morning line. Prices move — CLV comes from taking them early. In a field this size, extra-place terms come into play — Kai Lung rates best on that angle.