Galway 5:10

The model makes Love Me Tender its standout in this 11-runner Galway contest, rating it 56.3% to place and 28.8% to win. Chief danger is Frankie John, which the model rates 49.8% to place — respected, but a clear step behind the top pick. On price, though, the morning market is shorter than the model (35.5% implied at 2.82) — the fancied runner looks fully priced this morning, so any value lies elsewhere in the race. The biggest overlay against the morning line is Jolie Jewel at 41.0 — 3.2 points of value on the model's read of this morning's price, one for the each-way shortlist.