Model read · IRE
Galway 5:10
The Algohorse model's verdict on this 11-runner race — probabilities, value vs the market, and the standout.
MODEL VERDICT
Arouet
45.3% to place · best value: Mento
The model makes Arouet its standout in this 11-runner Galway contest, rating it 45.3% to place and 10.3% to win. But it's a competitive heat: only 3.5999999999999943 points cover the front two, and the model's shortlist to place is tight — Arouet (45.3%), Mino Des Mottes (41.7%), Witches Familiar (37.9%). On price, though, the market is shorter than the model (15.2% implied at 6.6) — the fancied runner looks fully priced, so any value lies elsewhere in the race. The published Algohorse selection is Arouet (NEXT BEST), to be backed each way.
The standout
| Runner | Place % | Win % | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arouet | 45.3% | 10.3% | 6.6 | -4.8pp |
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