Yarmouth 4:55

The model makes Stintino Sunset its standout in this 7-runner Yarmouth contest, rating it 60.9% to place and 42.6% to win. Chief danger is Nymphaea, which the model rates 51.6% to place — respected, but a clear step behind the top pick. There's value at the head of the market too: at this morning's 3.1 the price implies only 32.3%, so the model sees 10.3 points of edge on the morning line. Prices move — CLV comes from taking them early.