Yarmouth 4:20

The model makes Divot its standout in this 6-runner Yarmouth contest, rating it 69.5% to place and 47.5% to win. It stands clearly clear of the field on the model's numbers — 26.299999999999997 points ahead of Nuptown Girl (43.2%), so this reads as a strong, one-horse race rather than a puzzle. On price, though, the morning market is shorter than the model (51.8% implied at 1.93) — the fancied runner looks fully priced this morning, so any value lies elsewhere in the race. The biggest overlay against the morning line is Pride Eye at 13.0 — 4.7 points of value on the model's read of this morning's price, one for the each-way shortlist.