Model read · GB

Yarmouth 3:45

The Algohorse model's verdict on this 7-runner race — probabilities, value vs the market, and the standout.

MODEL VERDICT
Top pick locked
The model's top-rated runner is 59.2% to place · up to +10.3pp of value in this market

The model makes Luminous Warrior its standout in this 7-runner Yarmouth contest, rating it 59.2% to place and 36.1% to win. But it's a competitive heat: only 3.8000000000000043 points cover the front two, and the model's shortlist to place is tight — Luminous Warrior (59.2%), Chloe's Courage (55.4%), Turpin (41.5%). On price, though, the morning market is shorter than the model (50.3% implied at 1.99) — the fancied runner looks fully priced this morning, so any value lies elsewhere in the race. The biggest overlay against the morning line is Heer's Sadie at 10.0 — 10.3 points of value on the model's read of this morning's price, one for the each-way shortlist.

The model's runner-by-runner read — all 4 runners named, rated and priced — unlocks with a free account.