Goodwood 5:55
The Algohorse model's verdict on this 21-runner race — probabilities, value vs the market, and the standout.
The model makes Secret History its standout in this 21-runner Goodwood contest, rating it 42.2% to place and 14.9% to win. But it's a competitive heat: only 3.1000000000000014 points cover the front two, and the model's shortlist to place is tight — Secret History (42.2%), Machadadorp (39.1%), Bintaryana (29.5%). The morning market broadly agrees on the principal, with 7.4 implying 13.5% against the model's read. The biggest overlay against the morning line is Bintaryana at 9.4 — 3.2 points of value on the model's read of this morning's price, one for the each-way shortlist. In a field this size, extra-place terms come into play — Sing The Blues rates best on that angle.