Model read · GB

Goodwood 3:35

The Algohorse model's verdict on this 8-runner race — probabilities, value vs the market, and the standout.

MODEL VERDICT
Top pick locked
The model's top-rated runner is 71.3% to place · up to +3.6pp of value in this market

The model makes Scandinavia its standout in this 8-runner Goodwood contest, rating it 71.3% to place and 35.6% to win. Chief danger is Trawlerman, which the model rates 62.8% to place — respected, but a clear step behind the top pick. On price, though, the morning market is shorter than the model (42.0% implied at 2.38) — the fancied runner looks fully priced this morning, so any value lies elsewhere in the race. The biggest overlay against the morning line is Rahiebb at 16.0 — 3.6 points of value on the model's read of this morning's price, one for the each-way shortlist. The published Algohorse selection is Scandinavia (SPECULATIVE), to be backed place.

The model's runner-by-runner read — all 7 runners named, rated and priced — unlocks with a free account.