Ffos Las 7:30

The model makes Summerson its standout in this 4-runner Ffos Las contest, rating it 36.3% to place and 73.9% to win. It stands clearly clear of the field on the model's numbers — 21.799999999999997 points ahead of Cracking Beauty (14.5%), so this reads as a strong, one-horse race rather than a puzzle. There's value at the head of the market too: at this morning's 1.91 the price implies only 52.4%, so the model sees 21.5 points of edge on the morning line. Prices move — CLV comes from taking them early.